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Red174
159161.9
93067.5
265630.4
Blue140
178148.0
839342.9
263845.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17013880100120160180200220240174140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#1
67.50.3
66.867.1
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End7.6
red by 19.5
1781
#17
48.00.0
47.247.2
Auto10.2
Teleop30.8
End7.0
Second
61.90.3
61.361.6
Auto17.1
Teleop35.8
End8.7
red by 16.9
2638
#21
45.00.0
44.244.2
Auto12.4
Teleop24.4
End8.2
Third
2656
#39
30.40.4
29.630.0
Auto7.7
Teleop13.3
End9.4
blue by 12.5
42.90.0
42.142.1
Auto13.8
Teleop22.4
End6.8