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Red112
36529.3
180744.9
540716.6
Blue71
70837.1
741414.5
511315.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887540608010012011271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.92.4
34.637.0
Auto12.1
Teleop23.9
End8.6
red by 7.8
708
#11
37.10.1
33.333.2
Auto10.0
Teleop18.5
End8.7
Second
365
#14
29.32.4
28.430.8
Auto7.4
Teleop13.5
End8.4
red by 13.6
5113
#25
15.70.1
19.519.4
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End4.2
Third
5407
#26
16.62.4
17.720.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.6
End4.8
red by 2.1
7414
#30
14.50.1
19.018.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsMissed