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Red105
549010.8
568426.0
589554.1
Blue113
622616.3
27235.2
2543.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8883050100150105113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.12.4
47.049.3
Auto13.8
Teleop30.5
End9.7
red by 10.6
25
#8
43.53.3
33.036.3
Auto10.8
Teleop23.6
End9.1
Second
5684
#15
26.02.6
24.026.5
Auto5.8
Teleop15.6
End4.5
blue by 9.3
272
#9
35.23.3
30.233.5
Auto13.3
Teleop15.6
End6.3
Third
5490
#34
10.82.6
11.013.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End2.6
blue by 5.6
6226
#27
16.33.3
15.018.3
Auto5.7
Teleop5.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned