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Red64
518127.7
36529.3
43321.6
Blue115
27235.2
70917.1
253952.0
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8610440608012014016064115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#14
29.31.9
29.827.9
Auto7.4
Teleop13.5
End8.4
blue by 22.7
52.01.9
46.448.3
Auto12.5
Teleop30.2
End9.3
Second
5181
#18
27.71.9
29.127.2
Auto7.5
Teleop13.7
End6.5
blue by 7.6
272
#9
35.21.9
32.534.3
Auto13.3
Teleop15.6
End6.3
Third
433
#16
21.61.9
24.522.6
Auto7.0
Teleop6.4
End8.1
red by 4.5
709
#23
17.11.9
16.618.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned