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Red130
253952.0
164036.3
42315.9
Blue47
209518.3
680818.4
540716.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11152010015013047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.01.3
48.950.2
Auto12.5
Teleop30.2
End9.3
red by 33.6
6808
#24
18.41.1
19.218.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End5.6
Second
36.31.3
34.135.5
Auto12.7
Teleop18.2
End5.5
red by 18.0
2095
#21
18.31.1
19.918.8
Auto4.2
Teleop9.1
End5.0
Third
423
#12
15.91.3
14.015.4
Auto6.2
Teleop4.9
End4.7
blue by 0.7
5407
#26
16.61.1
17.716.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsMissed