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Red117
139141.3
589554.1
70917.1
Blue49
549010.8
255910.7
34145.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8668020406010012014011749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.14.3
32.937.2
Auto13.8
Teleop30.5
End9.7
red by 8.1
341
#7
45.91.9
27.325.4
Auto11.2
Teleop26.5
End8.2
Second
1391
#17
41.34.3
25.429.7
Auto12.7
Teleop21.9
End6.7
red by 30.6
5490
#34
10.81.9
18.917.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Third
709
#23
17.14.3
20.324.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End4.7
red by 6.4
2559
#29
10.71.9
19.717.8
Auto1.3
Teleop5.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsEarned