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Red75
540716.6
223411.8
164036.3
Blue53
42315.9
27235.2
36529.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697540506080901007553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.5
29.630.1
Auto12.7
Teleop18.2
End5.5
red by 1.1
272
#9
35.22.4
25.523.0
Auto13.3
Teleop15.6
End6.3
Second
5407
#26
16.60.5
20.420.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.6
End4.8
blue by 12.7
365
#14
29.32.4
29.226.8
Auto7.4
Teleop13.5
End8.4
Third
2234
#32
11.80.5
15.916.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End3.5
blue by 4.1
423
#12
15.92.4
15.212.8
Auto6.2
Teleop4.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsEarned