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Red85
10342.2
121842.8
209518.3
Blue101
568426.0
36529.3
363728.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11684406010014016085101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.4
43.242.8
Auto15.0
Teleop19.2
End8.3
red by 13.5
365
#14
29.30.4
29.229.6
Auto7.4
Teleop13.5
End8.4
Second
103
#5
42.20.5
42.842.3
Auto8.7
Teleop27.0
End6.5
red by 14.0
3637
#10
28.30.4
28.228.6
Auto7.8
Teleop15.2
End5.3
Third
2095
#21
18.30.4
18.818.3
Auto4.2
Teleop9.1
End5.0
blue by 7.7
5684
#15
26.00.4
25.926.3
Auto5.8
Teleop15.6
End4.5