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Red61
20325.6
877114.2
42318.4
Blue100
437340.9
32126.5
83432.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions589020408010012014061100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#17
25.60.2
23.022.8
Auto7.3
Teleop10.4
End8.0
blue by 15.3
40.92.2
28.030.2
Auto14.3
Teleop16.4
End10.2
Second
423
#18
18.40.1
17.717.5
Auto9.5
Teleop3.3
End5.7
blue by 14.2
834
#11
32.62.2
26.428.6
Auto10.8
Teleop16.2
End5.6
Third
8771
#25
14.20.2
17.517.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.5
End4.1
blue by 12.2
321
#13
26.52.2
25.928.0
Auto10.5
Teleop10.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned