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Red97
437340.9
272221.8
116823.1
Blue30
901418.1
457520.9
42318.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8461020401001201401609730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.91.8
30.232.0
Auto14.3
Teleop16.4
End10.2
red by 20.0
4575
#14
20.93.9
22.018.2
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End2.2
Second
1168
#15
23.11.8
22.724.6
Auto5.0
Teleop11.6
End6.6
red by 4.7
423
#18
18.42.3
17.515.2
Auto9.5
Teleop3.3
End5.7
Third
2722
#12
21.81.8
22.724.5
Auto7.7
Teleop7.0
End7.0
red by 3.6
9014
#23
18.13.9
20.316.5
Auto6.1
Teleop6.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsMissed