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Red55
902721.5
116823.1
540716.6
Blue120
901418.1
437340.9
34158.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6111020408010012014016055120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1168
#15
23.11.5
24.623.1
Auto5.0
Teleop11.6
End6.6
blue by 35.6
341
#2
58.71.5
48.349.8
Auto13.4
Teleop36.3
End8.8
Second
9027
#28
21.51.5
23.421.9
Auto7.3
Teleop10.5
End3.7
blue by 19.4
40.92.6
32.034.6
Auto14.3
Teleop16.4
End10.2
Third
5407
#26
16.60.9
15.514.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End5.8
blue by 1.6
9014
#23
18.12.6
16.519.0
Auto6.1
Teleop6.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsEarned