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Red71
272221.8
902721.5
83432.6
Blue111
34158.7
10230.9
32126.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8311320406010014016018071111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#11
32.61.0
36.635.6
Auto10.8
Teleop16.2
End5.6
blue by 26.1
341
#2
58.70.6
51.452.0
Auto13.4
Teleop36.3
End8.8
Second
2722
#12
21.81.1
21.920.7
Auto7.7
Teleop7.0
End7.0
blue by 9.1
102
#6
30.90.6
26.627.1
Auto10.5
Teleop14.0
End6.3
Third
9027
#28
21.51.0
23.322.3
Auto7.3
Teleop10.5
End3.7
blue by 4.9
321
#13
26.50.8
24.625.4
Auto10.5
Teleop10.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed55%Activation oddsEarned