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Red127
34158.7
518129.7
171222.0
Blue108
457520.9
272221.8
10347.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1108920406080100120140160180127108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
58.71.7
52.053.7
Auto13.4
Teleop36.3
End8.8
red by 10.8
103
#7
47.91.4
45.346.7
Auto10.3
Teleop31.3
End6.2
Second
5181
#10
29.71.7
29.531.3
Auto10.3
Teleop13.4
End6.0
red by 7.9
2722
#12
21.82.1
20.722.8
Auto7.7
Teleop7.0
End7.0
Third
1712
#16
22.02.5
19.421.9
Auto3.2
Teleop13.8
End5.0
red by 1.1
4575
#14
20.92.1
20.522.6
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsEarned