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Red95
902721.5
10230.9
437340.9
Blue122
121848.9
48622.2
70840.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87127406010014016018095122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.7
37.438.1
Auto14.3
Teleop16.4
End10.2
blue by 8.0
48.90.2
49.749.9
Auto15.3
Teleop26.0
End7.5
Second
102
#6
30.90.5
27.127.7
Auto10.5
Teleop14.0
End6.3
blue by 9.3
708
#9
40.20.2
42.442.6
Auto12.8
Teleop19.4
End8.0
Third
9027
#28
21.50.7
22.323.0
Auto7.3
Teleop10.5
End3.7
blue by 0.7
486
#21
22.20.3
21.621.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed30%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsMissed