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Red108
164044.6
43323.3
909415.2
Blue88
272018.4
34158.7
116823.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77105406012014016018010888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.60.7
37.237.9
Auto14.3
Teleop22.6
End7.5
blue by 14.1
341
#2
58.70.4
48.347.9
Auto13.4
Teleop36.3
End8.8
Second
433
#22
23.30.7
21.622.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.4
End6.7
red by 0.1
1168
#15
23.10.7
22.822.0
Auto5.0
Teleop11.6
End6.6
Third
9094
#24
15.21.1
17.218.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End6.9
blue by 3.1
2720
#30
18.40.7
23.622.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsMissed