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Red116
48622.2
10230.9
70840.2
Blue110
437340.9
164044.6
901418.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94113406080120140160180116110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#9
40.20.6
39.339.8
Auto12.8
Teleop19.4
End8.0
blue by 4.4
44.60.2
44.544.6
Auto14.3
Teleop22.6
End7.5
Second
102
#6
30.90.6
29.930.5
Auto10.5
Teleop14.0
End6.3
blue by 10.0
40.90.2
40.740.9
Auto14.3
Teleop16.4
End10.2
Third
486
#21
22.20.6
21.221.8
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End6.6
red by 4.1
9014
#23
18.10.2
18.018.1
Auto6.1
Teleop6.8
End5.2