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Red99
48622.2
10230.9
70840.2
Blue115
272018.4
83432.6
540123.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions987302040608012014016099115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#9
40.20.0
38.638.6
Auto12.8
Teleop19.4
End8.0
red by 7.7
834
#11
32.60.5
31.732.2
Auto10.8
Teleop16.2
End5.6
Second
102
#6
30.90.0
29.329.3
Auto10.5
Teleop14.0
End6.3
red by 7.8
23.10.5
22.222.7
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End6.1
Third
486
#21
22.20.0
20.620.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End6.6
red by 3.8
2720
#30
18.40.5
17.518.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End5.4