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Red85
901418.1
164044.6
437340.9
Blue86
43323.3
518129.7
272221.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113710501001508586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.60.4
43.743.4
Auto14.3
Teleop22.6
End7.5
red by 14.9
5181
#10
29.70.3
28.829.2
Auto10.3
Teleop13.4
End6.0
Second
40.90.4
40.039.6
Auto14.3
Teleop16.4
End10.2
red by 17.6
433
#22
23.30.3
22.422.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.4
End6.7
Third
9014
#23
18.10.4
17.316.9
Auto6.1
Teleop6.8
End5.2
blue by 3.6
2722
#12
21.80.3
20.921.2
Auto7.7
Teleop7.0
End7.0