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Red44
99927.6
574028.5
99997.8
Blue92
99918.0
261446.3
999020.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4483020601001201401604492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.3
27.927.6
Auto7.6
Teleop17.8
End3.2
blue by 17.8
46.31.0
44.945.9
Auto12.7
Teleop29.6
End3.3
Second
9999
#14
7.80.4
6.56.0
Auto1.1
Teleop8.1
End-1.6
blue by 12.9
20.71.7
19.020.7
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End-1.3
Third
7.60.4
13.513.1
Auto0.7
Teleop7.7
End-0.9
blue by 0.4
8.01.7
12.414.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End-1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsMissed