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Red62
265619.3
64142.8
261446.3
Blue93
446736.8
326017.7
999020.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999760801201406293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.31.9
50.148.2
Auto12.7
Teleop29.6
End3.3
red by 9.5
36.80.4
41.041.3
Auto7.3
Teleop27.5
End1.5
Second
2656
#13
19.31.9
28.026.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End3.6
blue by 1.5
20.70.6
23.624.2
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End-1.3
Third
6414
#16
2.83.2
12.59.4
Auto0.6
Teleop3.1
End-0.8
blue by 15.0
3260
#11
17.70.4
23.023.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned