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Red62
11720.8
261446.3
6669.6
Blue10
64142.8
499119.5
99927.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1035001502006210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.33.3
48.244.9
Auto12.7
Teleop29.6
End3.3
red by 26.8
4991
#15
19.53.3
25.822.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End1.7
Second
117
#12
20.83.3
29.225.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.7
End1.7
red by 13.2
7.65.5
19.013.5
Auto0.7
Teleop7.7
End-0.9
Third
666
#2
9.65.5
14.08.5
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End-1.1
red by 6.9
6414
#16
2.85.5
9.43.9
Auto0.6
Teleop3.1
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed35%Activation oddsMissed