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Red123
853236.9
644341.3
448838.8
Blue145
299048.9
903626.3
154048.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104132050150200250123145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6443
#24
41.31.5
36.838.3
Auto13.3
Teleop24.6
End3.1
blue by 7.7
2990
#18
48.91.3
47.849.1
Auto13.2
Teleop26.7
End8.4
Second
4488
#42
38.81.5
31.132.6
Auto7.0
Teleop24.1
End7.7
blue by 9.8
1540
#23
48.61.3
47.348.6
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End8.6
Third
8532
#32
36.91.5
33.234.7
Auto11.4
Teleop21.3
End3.7
red by 10.6
9036
#30
26.31.3
25.226.5
Auto7.4
Teleop13.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned48%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed82%Activation oddsEarned