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Red125
446941.3
762752.8
746155.2
Blue161
363652.8
48851.7
204666.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148169050100200250300350125161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7461
#19
55.21.1
53.051.9
Auto15.2
Teleop32.4
End6.0
blue by 11.4
2046
#27
66.60.0
66.366.3
Auto16.7
Teleop39.7
End8.0
Second
7627
#35
52.81.1
52.351.2
Auto13.7
Teleop29.1
End9.3
Level
3636
#21
52.80.0
51.651.6
Auto10.7
Teleop31.8
End9.0
Third
4469
#46
41.31.1
41.640.5
Auto13.3
Teleop23.4
End3.9
blue by 10.4
488
#7
51.70.0
46.346.3
Auto14.1
Teleop27.1
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
74%Sustainability oddsEarned93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsEarned