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Red117
371143.3
198344.0
903626.3
Blue87
491539.1
491144.5
412523.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171035015020011787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#10
44.00.2
41.141.3
Auto14.0
Teleop22.0
End7.9
blue by 0.5
4911
#40
44.50.8
40.339.5
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End9.0
Second
3711
#15
43.30.2
38.538.7
Auto12.3
Teleop22.1
End8.3
red by 4.1
4915
#38
39.10.8
37.136.4
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End10.1
Third
9036
#30
26.30.2
28.829.1
Auto7.4
Teleop13.0
End6.1
red by 2.5
4125
#47
23.70.8
21.120.4
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsEarned30%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned