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Red158
281152.2
299048.9
177847.3
Blue162
363652.8
247141.5
252164.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148160100200250158162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#20
52.20.8
50.050.8
Auto14.9
Teleop28.5
End8.4
blue by 12.4
64.70.5
60.160.6
Auto15.2
Teleop37.8
End10.2
Second
2990
#18
48.90.8
49.950.7
Auto13.2
Teleop26.7
End8.4
blue by 3.9
3636
#21
52.80.5
51.652.1
Auto10.7
Teleop31.8
End9.0
Third
1778
#12
47.30.8
40.741.6
Auto13.1
Teleop27.1
End7.5
red by 5.8
2471
#39
41.50.5
43.243.7
Auto7.0
Teleop23.9
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
66%Sustainability oddsEarned86%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned