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Red118
241249.8
367442.8
189942.2
Blue144
491144.5
299048.9
366357.8
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13215950100150200250118144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#11
49.80.9
47.046.0
Auto12.4
Teleop29.1
End7.3
blue by 8.0
57.80.5
55.955.4
Auto14.9
Teleop34.3
End8.4
Second
3674
#33
42.80.9
41.140.2
Auto12.1
Teleop21.8
End8.4
blue by 6.1
2990
#18
48.90.5
50.750.2
Auto13.2
Teleop26.7
End8.4
Third
1899
#14
42.20.9
40.839.8
Auto11.0
Teleop24.3
End6.7
blue by 2.2
4911
#40
44.50.5
39.539.1
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned88%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned