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Red176
204666.6
703444.0
252164.7
Blue120
154048.6
683125.5
413151.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17312150100150200176120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#27
66.61.3
62.964.3
Auto16.7
Teleop39.7
End8.0
red by 14.8
4131
#31
51.80.0
48.748.7
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End7.3
Second
64.71.3
60.661.9
Auto15.2
Teleop37.8
End10.2
red by 16.1
1540
#23
48.60.0
45.645.6
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End8.6
Third
7034
#25
44.01.3
40.241.5
Auto11.5
Teleop24.9
End7.1
red by 18.4
6831
#48
25.50.0
25.425.4
Auto8.2
Teleop10.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned47%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned