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Red101
363652.8
853236.9
255729.2
Blue166
366357.8
189942.2
95556.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12016250100150200250101166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#21
52.81.1
47.846.7
Auto10.7
Teleop31.8
End9.0
blue by 5.0
57.80.9
55.556.4
Auto14.9
Teleop34.3
End8.4
Second
8532
#32
36.91.1
40.038.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.3
End3.7
blue by 19.8
955
#5
56.70.9
50.050.9
Auto15.6
Teleop33.0
End7.3
Third
2557
#29
29.21.1
32.331.2
Auto7.6
Teleop15.1
End6.4
blue by 13.1
1899
#14
42.20.9
41.542.5
Auto11.0
Teleop24.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
51%Activation oddsMissed91%Activation oddsEarned