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Red137
371143.3
762752.8
36050.5
Blue181
177847.3
468249.6
293059.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14215480100120180200220240137181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7627
#35
52.80.2
50.650.8
Auto13.7
Teleop29.1
End9.3
blue by 6.9
2930
#16
59.72.5
57.259.7
Auto15.7
Teleop35.6
End7.5
Second
360
#8
50.50.2
47.047.2
Auto14.4
Teleop28.1
End7.7
red by 0.9
49.62.5
44.046.6
Auto15.3
Teleop26.7
End7.3
Third
3711
#15
43.30.2
39.839.9
Auto12.3
Teleop22.1
End8.3
blue by 4.0
1778
#12
47.32.5
42.044.5
Auto13.1
Teleop27.1
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned85%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned