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Red125
255729.2
413151.8
293059.7
Blue139
94846.1
371143.3
546832.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15212050100200125139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#16
59.70.9
59.758.8
Auto15.7
Teleop35.6
End7.5
red by 13.6
948
#13
46.11.5
43.444.9
Auto13.7
Teleop25.8
End6.7
Second
4131
#31
51.80.9
50.449.5
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End7.3
red by 8.5
3711
#15
43.31.5
39.941.4
Auto12.3
Teleop22.1
End8.3
Third
2557
#29
29.20.9
31.230.3
Auto7.6
Teleop15.1
End6.4
blue by 2.8
5468
#43
32.01.5
33.535.0
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsEarned62%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned