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Red119
129422.8
412523.7
366357.8
Blue109
683125.5
491539.1
281152.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10512850150200119109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.81.1
56.457.6
Auto14.9
Teleop34.3
End8.4
red by 5.6
2811
#20
52.20.6
51.651.1
Auto14.9
Teleop28.5
End8.4
Second
4125
#47
23.71.1
24.725.9
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End3.9
blue by 15.4
4915
#38
39.10.6
36.636.0
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End10.1
Third
1294
#49
22.81.1
20.621.7
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End5.9
blue by 2.8
6831
#48
25.50.6
29.228.6
Auto8.2
Teleop10.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
56%Sustainability oddsMissed62%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned