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Red118
412523.7
307038.3
293059.7
Blue168
363652.8
762752.8
448838.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12914650100200250118168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#16
59.70.3
60.259.9
Auto15.7
Teleop35.6
End7.5
red by 6.9
7627
#35
52.81.4
51.452.8
Auto13.7
Teleop29.1
End9.3
Second
3070
#37
38.30.3
38.638.3
Auto10.3
Teleop18.3
End9.7
blue by 14.5
3636
#21
52.81.4
49.450.8
Auto10.7
Teleop31.8
End9.0
Third
4125
#47
23.70.3
24.023.7
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End3.9
blue by 15.1
4488
#42
38.81.4
37.438.8
Auto7.0
Teleop24.1
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsMissed69%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned