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Red53
687217.3
495226.5
354423.7
Blue17
338615.9
923417.7
662219.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565101001505317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4952
#25
26.50.4
19.118.7
Auto8.5
Teleop12.3
End5.7
red by 7.2
6622
#29
19.33.5
17.013.5
Auto3.5
Teleop11.2
End4.6
Second
3544
#28
23.70.4
18.518.1
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End4.4
red by 6.0
9234
#35
17.73.5
15.311.8
Auto5.7
Teleop6.8
End5.3
Third
6872
#39
17.30.4
13.913.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.9
End3.5
red by 1.4
3386
#27
15.93.5
16.012.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsMissed