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Red110
494724.1
770018.1
399642.3
Blue95
495716.8
692927.7
552833.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656130405070809010011011095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.34.4
22.126.5
Auto12.0
Teleop20.6
End9.7
red by 8.7
5528
#19
33.63.0
22.425.5
Auto13.3
Teleop11.9
End8.3
Second
4947
#26
24.14.4
21.626.0
Auto5.2
Teleop15.9
End3.0
blue by 3.7
6929
#10
27.74.2
19.924.0
Auto10.6
Teleop9.1
End8.1
Third
7700
#42
18.14.4
16.721.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.1
End5.9
red by 1.3
4957
#34
16.84.2
15.319.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed31%Activation oddsEarned