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Red90
858514.0
543941.5
591031.6
Blue77
459417.0
686916.3
399046.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597801001502009077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.52.5
21.323.8
Auto12.0
Teleop21.8
End7.7
blue by 5.1
46.60.1
40.140.3
Auto12.6
Teleop27.1
End6.9
Second
31.62.5
19.321.8
Auto7.8
Teleop13.6
End10.1
red by 14.6
4594
#21
17.00.2
15.816.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.3
End4.5
Third
8585
#43
14.02.5
16.919.4
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End1.8
blue by 2.3
6869
#30
16.30.2
14.614.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsEarned