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Red79
397523.1
747122.5
338615.9
Blue82
826420.9
495526.4
690728.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46642040801007982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3975
#32
23.12.7
19.221.9
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End5.6
blue by 5.1
6907
#20
28.32.2
19.922.1
Auto6.2
Teleop14.8
End7.2
Second
7471
#44
22.52.7
14.417.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End4.9
blue by 3.9
26.42.2
20.522.7
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End7.7
Third
3386
#27
15.92.7
11.414.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End6.1
blue by 5.0
8264
#36
20.91.3
16.918.2
Auto5.9
Teleop9.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsEarned