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Red82
354423.7
262623.1
398635.8
Blue122
543941.5
399642.3
910229.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777960709010011012082122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3986
#24
35.81.1
30.831.9
Auto9.7
Teleop19.5
End6.6
blue by 6.4
42.35.3
29.334.6
Auto12.0
Teleop20.6
End9.7
Second
3544
#28
23.71.1
20.922.0
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End4.4
blue by 17.8
41.55.3
28.734.0
Auto12.0
Teleop21.8
End7.7
Third
2626
#23
23.11.1
20.521.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End7.6
blue by 6.0
29.15.3
16.121.4
Auto4.5
Teleop17.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsEarned