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Red83
398523.1
826420.9
495226.5
Blue104
591031.6
926815.1
815227.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7158020408010012014083104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4952
#25
26.51.5
20.321.8
Auto8.5
Teleop12.3
End5.7
blue by 5.0
31.63.4
25.729.1
Auto7.8
Teleop13.6
End10.1
Second
3985
#31
23.11.5
23.625.1
Auto6.1
Teleop9.6
End7.5
blue by 4.5
8152
#16
27.73.4
18.922.3
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End8.8
Third
8264
#36
20.90.9
20.821.7
Auto5.9
Teleop9.7
End5.3
red by 5.8
9268
#40
15.13.4
11.715.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsEarned