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Red128
591031.6
459417.0
398635.8
Blue73
813225.8
923417.7
687217.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8361204010012012873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3986
#24
35.82.5
29.732.2
Auto9.7
Teleop19.5
End6.6
red by 10.0
8132
#18
25.80.2
26.126.0
Auto9.6
Teleop10.2
End6.0
Second
31.62.5
29.131.6
Auto7.8
Teleop13.6
End10.1
red by 13.9
9234
#35
17.70.2
16.416.2
Auto5.7
Teleop6.8
End5.3
Third
4594
#21
17.02.7
15.918.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.3
End4.5
blue by 0.3
6872
#39
17.30.2
17.116.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsMissed