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Red107
747122.5
879017.9
399642.3
Blue111
495226.5
543941.5
336028.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7210020406080120140160107111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.33.2
37.440.5
Auto12.0
Teleop20.6
End9.7
red by 0.7
41.51.1
40.341.4
Auto12.0
Teleop21.8
End7.7
Second
7471
#44
22.53.2
19.022.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End4.9
blue by 6.0
3360
#14
28.50.7
28.629.3
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End8.5
Third
8790
#37
17.93.2
15.018.2
Auto6.8
Teleop7.0
End4.1
blue by 8.6
4952
#25
26.51.1
21.822.8
Auto8.5
Teleop12.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned