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Red69
826420.9
353214.1
543941.5
Blue71
495526.4
399642.3
760534.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496801001502006971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.52.3
19.021.3
Auto12.0
Teleop21.8
End7.7
blue by 0.7
42.30.5
21.622.1
Auto12.0
Teleop20.6
End9.7
Second
8264
#36
20.91.8
12.814.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.7
End5.3
blue by 13.9
34.80.5
21.622.2
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End9.1
Third
3532
#46
14.12.3
16.819.1
Auto1.1
Teleop7.3
End5.8
blue by 12.3
26.40.5
17.918.5
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsEarned