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Red107
552833.6
815227.7
311736.1
Blue78
398523.1
495526.4
222031.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9488608010012014010778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.4
33.133.5
Auto7.9
Teleop19.2
End9.1
red by 4.8
2220
#11
31.40.2
32.131.8
Auto11.2
Teleop13.8
End6.4
Second
5528
#19
33.60.4
30.531.0
Auto13.3
Teleop11.9
End8.3
red by 7.2
26.40.3
27.327.0
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End7.7
Third
8152
#16
27.70.6
23.624.2
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End8.8
red by 4.5
3985
#31
23.10.3
24.123.7
Auto6.1
Teleop9.6
End7.5