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Red170
632845.5
50925.7
632957.8
Blue109
7848.5
31939.1
862617.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13810750150200170109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.80.5
57.457.8
Auto14.3
Teleop34.4
End8.9
red by 9.3
78
#3
48.50.1
48.448.5
Auto14.1
Teleop24.9
End9.5
Second
45.50.5
45.145.5
Auto13.4
Teleop22.5
End9.4
red by 6.4
319
#6
39.10.1
39.039.1
Auto13.4
Teleop18.8
End7.0
Third
509
#17
25.70.5
25.325.7
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End6.9
red by 8.5
8626
#18
17.20.1
17.117.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End5.1