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Red102
490941.8
287730.0
492518.5
Blue52
13076.9
862617.2
110034.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7860204010012010252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.81.7
31.833.5
Auto13.6
Teleop19.7
End8.5
red by 7.7
1100
#11
34.10.7
31.030.3
Auto7.4
Teleop21.6
End5.1
Second
2877
#19
30.01.8
25.427.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.3
End6.0
red by 12.8
8626
#18
17.20.7
18.417.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End5.1
Third
4925
#13
18.51.2
13.714.9
Auto6.2
Teleop4.9
End7.3
red by 11.5
1307
#24
6.90.5
9.18.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed