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Red53
633320.8
841024.0
490818.0
Blue98
16638.8
581337.8
24626.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68862040601001201405398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8410
#21
24.01.4
21.920.4
Auto8.3
Teleop9.4
End6.3
blue by 14.8
166
#9
38.81.0
30.531.5
Auto2.5
Teleop25.9
End10.4
Second
6333
#20
20.81.4
26.925.4
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End5.7
blue by 17.0
37.81.1
31.332.3
Auto12.4
Teleop19.8
End5.6
Third
4908
#23
18.00.9
17.316.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.1
End7.0
blue by 8.6
246
#8
26.71.0
16.617.6
Auto7.4
Teleop13.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsMissed