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Red100
928616.6
174037.3
404832.2
Blue59
633320.8
110034.1
50925.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818160707580859010010059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1740
#10
37.32.1
32.034.1
Auto10.8
Teleop21.4
End5.2
red by 3.2
1100
#11
34.11.9
31.829.9
Auto7.4
Teleop21.6
End5.1
Second
4048
#16
32.22.1
27.429.5
Auto7.1
Teleop15.8
End9.3
red by 6.4
509
#17
25.71.4
22.521.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End6.9
Third
9286
#15
16.61.3
16.717.9
Auto6.2
Teleop3.6
End6.7
blue by 4.2
6333
#20
20.81.9
21.719.9
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsMissed