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Red101
135013.5
115335.8
581337.8
Blue115
287730.0
804636.9
404832.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8796406080120140160101115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.81.9
34.736.5
Auto12.4
Teleop19.8
End5.6
red by 0.9
36.91.6
34.736.3
Auto11.0
Teleop16.8
End9.2
Second
1153
#14
35.81.3
36.337.7
Auto10.0
Teleop16.9
End8.9
red by 3.6
4048
#16
32.21.6
29.531.1
Auto7.1
Teleop15.8
End9.3
Third
1350
#28
13.51.9
12.013.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.1
End5.0
blue by 16.5
2877
#19
30.01.6
25.226.8
Auto8.7
Teleop15.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned