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Red116
632957.8
242327.9
862617.2
Blue82
24626.7
404832.2
633320.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions997520406012014016011682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.82.3
51.854.1
Auto14.3
Teleop34.4
End8.9
red by 25.6
4048
#16
32.20.8
28.028.8
Auto7.1
Teleop15.8
End9.3
Second
2423
#12
27.91.7
24.826.5
Auto10.3
Teleop11.9
End5.7
red by 1.2
246
#8
26.70.6
23.524.1
Auto7.4
Teleop13.0
End6.3
Third
8626
#18
17.22.3
13.515.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End5.1
blue by 3.5
6333
#20
20.80.8
21.522.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned