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Red139
16638.8
633320.8
632957.8
Blue47
511219.2
356616.4
287730.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7862204010012013947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.87.0
30.837.8
Auto14.3
Teleop34.4
End8.9
red by 27.8
2877
#19
30.01.5
24.623.1
Auto8.7
Teleop15.3
End6.0
Second
166
#9
38.87.0
20.927.9
Auto2.5
Teleop25.9
End10.4
red by 19.6
5112
#22
19.21.5
18.517.1
Auto6.9
Teleop5.7
End6.6
Third
6333
#20
20.87.0
19.326.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End5.7
red by 4.4
3566
#27
16.41.4
17.215.8
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsMissed