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Red105
50925.7
287730.0
115335.8
Blue135
804636.9
24626.7
490941.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91110406080100120140160105135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#14
35.80.8
34.735.5
Auto10.0
Teleop16.9
End8.9
blue by 6.0
41.81.2
38.940.1
Auto13.6
Teleop19.7
End8.5
Second
2877
#19
30.00.9
28.829.8
Auto8.7
Teleop15.3
End6.0
blue by 6.9
36.91.3
36.237.5
Auto11.0
Teleop16.8
End9.2
Third
509
#17
25.70.8
23.824.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End6.9
blue by 0.9
246
#8
26.71.2
25.226.4
Auto7.4
Teleop13.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned